May 12, 2017

Timing the Market: Why it Does NOT Work

Often a new client, as we are designing their portfolio plan (Investment Policy Statement), may assume we should buy when the market is doing well; and sell when the market isn’t doing so hot. This process is called “Timing the Market.” Timing the market doesn’t work. It’s a nightmare scenario that will cost you thousands of dollars. As a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ that works in the industry day in and day out, I cannot reiterate this point enough. TIMING THE MARKET DOES NOT WORK! We at Heritage Investors just don’t time the market. We don’t have crystal balls telling us when the market is going to be high or low. Here’s why TIMING THE MARKET DOES NOT WORK! Many people assume financial professionals are privy to a magic formula that will yield greater results than others. They tend to think, we know how to make more money buying and selling at market peaks and valleys. However, the market has a mind of its own. It’s anybody’s guess on what it will look like from opening to closing bell. It’s our belief that a well-balanced portfolio designed to match a client’s risk tolerance is the best solution for their desired returns. Our job is to […]
May 10, 2017
Sell in May and Go Away

 “Sell in May and Go Away”?? Maybe Not!

If you’ve invested for any length of time in your life, you’ve most like heard the term, “Sell in May and go away.” As simple as it sounds, it may not give you the results you’re looking for when it comes to investing. Historically speaking, stocks often provide their lowest returns between May and October. Nevertheless, after the 2016 presidential election, it’s clear to see that this market is anybody’s guess. The market could be overvalued right now, which will result in the typical correction. However, no one saw Donald Trump winning the election. In light of a year of what ifs, here are five fantastic reasons to hold your stocks instead of selling this year. Don’t Sell in May and Go Away 1. We see a strong market so far in May. We’re seeing well over 20, 0000 on the DOW. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 are both hitting highs. Did you know over the last 67 years, the S&P 500 manifested a long-term trend-line 48 times despite, heading into this weak period? The gain is around 2.8% now. That’s double the average for all years. 2. Remember that the market is global. Look beyond what they U.S. market is doing. The […]
December 20, 2016
The cheapest way to begin investing

Fed Raises Rates

Last week was mixed for the markets, as the Dow increased by 0.44%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.06%, the NASDAQ dropped 0.13%, and the MSCI EAFE gave back 0.55%. We also saw a variety of data released, giving a similarly mixed view of recent economic activity. Retail sales and the Consumer Price Index showed modest gains, while industrial production and housing starts both declined. The biggest headline from last week, however, was a development the market anticipated for quite some time: The Federal Reserve decided to raise its benchmark interest rates – for only the second time since 2006.   Why did the Fed raise rates? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the group of Fed officials who meet to determine interest rates and other policies choices, has a mandate to “foster maximum employment and price stability.” In its quest to uphold this mandate, the FOMC aims to keep inflation at 2%, as this level can help support accurate financial forecasting and decisions while preventing harmful deflation. The act of adjusting interest rates can help control inflation and support economic strength. At its most basic, when the Fed lowers rates, they are indicating that the economy is contracting – […]
December 12, 2016
Heritage Investors Investment Strategy

Rational Exuberance?

On Friday, December 9, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended at record highs. For the first time in five years, they each posted gains every day of the trading week. The S&P 500 was up 3.08%, the Dow added 3.06%, and NASDAQ increased 3.59%. International stocks in the MSCI EAFE even gained 2.9%, despite potential risks from the Italian referendum and impending end of the European Central Bank’s quantitative easing. From our vantage point, we see a rally that appears to be picking up steam. Looking at this impressive growth, however, it’s easy to wonder whether the markets are becoming overvalued and a correction is in order. In keeping with this concern, last Monday, December 5, marked the 20th anniversary of Former Federal Reserve Chief Alan Greenspan’s famous warning about “irrational exuberance.” Back in 1996, Greenspan worried that overvalued stocks and extreme investor enthusiasm could drive stocks to reach unsustainable levels. His warning didn’t slow the markets’ growth at the time, and several more years passed before the eventual dot-com crash. So, are we facing the same irrational exuberance as in 1996? Hardly. We’d argue that rather than being overvalued, the markets have yet to reach their fair price. Domestic […]