November 8, 2016

Stocks Are Down but Long-Term View Is Up

We’re in the middle of an interesting moment for the markets, where short-term volatility and uncertainty might lead you to believe that the economy is faltering. After all, the major stock indexes lost ground this week, with the S&P 500 losing 1.94%, the Dow dropping 1.50%, the NASDAQ dipping 2.77%, and the MSCI EAFE declining 1.59%. On top of these losses, the S&P 500 posted its longest losing streak since 1980. Stocks are down but long-term view is up. Of course, we never like to see the markets go down. However, we believe that when you look beneath the surface, the economy is still doing far better than what this week’s performance implies. Behind the losses and ongoing election exhaustion, we see a number of strong indicators that the economy is growing. This week, we learned that the trade deficit shrank, the service sector grew for the 81st consecutive month, and manufacturing continued its steady growth. On Friday, November 4, we also got to see new data on jobs and payrolls – the last significant economic report before Election Day. What did the jobs report show us? Unemployment Rate Dropped                       […]
October 25, 2016

A Quiet Week Ends With Indexes Up

A quiet week ends with indexes up, but right now, the general market sentiment seems unsure about where it stands and where to go from here. Why did the markets have a sluggish week? Experts last week described the markets as lazy and docile, and we have to agree. If these five days of trading are a movie, it would probably put a lot of people to sleep. On paper, last week seemed to provide plenty of opportunities for market excitement – from major companies’ earnings releases to the European Central Bank’s latest policy announcement. In reality, however, much of what we saw and heard led to little change and few strong reactions. But why? We’d point to a few key occurrences: Earnings reports were mostly good, but few were outstanding. The European Central Bank held interest rates where they are. The presidential election continues to hold the markets in limbo. While last week’s markets seemed more sluggish than normal, a little break from the excitement can be nice sometimes, especially when coupled with increases in all major U.S. indexes. Looking Ahead This week not only moves us ever closer to Election Day, but it also brings more earnings reports and ends […]